Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.263751 0.354685 0.460937 0.592331 0.748500 0.926296 1.142072
2026-02-01 0.134453 0.234794 0.372598 0.566717 0.824068 1.144814 1.565629
2026-02-08 0.077110 0.177104 0.337727 0.591107 0.957534 1.445942 2.122689
2026-02-15 0.040447 0.128580 0.296400 0.592065 1.054609 1.707503 2.653428
2026-02-22 0.024396 0.106442 0.288025 0.637580 1.217670 2.070813 3.345648
2026-03-01 0.013371 0.085175 0.271987 0.664346 1.352187 2.401702 4.012800
2026-03-08 0.006214 0.064826 0.248165 0.669705 1.449661 2.682019 4.621638
2026-03-15 0.002223 0.046694 0.219512 0.657168 1.512267 2.910181 5.163400
2026-03-22 0.000756 0.036295 0.205229 0.669493 1.617178 3.208166 5.819712
2026-03-29 0.000152 0.027139 0.188424 0.671261 1.700918 3.474778 6.437647
2026-04-05 0.000004 0.018422 0.165420 0.651637 1.740042 3.668138 6.948664
2026-04-12 NaN 0.012207 0.145572 0.633609 1.778307 3.859744 7.461863
2026-04-19 NaN 0.008637 0.134585 0.637537 1.863533 4.140113 8.133395
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004994 0.115758 0.612808 1.885340 4.310821 8.636075
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003859 0.113812 0.639796 2.021622 4.691087 9.491590
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002450 0.104966 0.641431 2.101131 4.972199 10.192991
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002172 0.109267 0.689932 2.291403 5.462922 11.254310
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001640 0.108101 0.718418 2.437152 5.876653 12.197608
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001001 0.101369 0.724177 2.529525 6.194346 12.987974
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000466 0.090758 0.710965 2.574518 6.424099 13.635400
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000260 0.086829 0.724025 2.684667 6.781115 14.506974
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000110 0.080828 0.725907 2.766422 7.085738 15.294984
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000020 0.070841 0.705156 2.787813 7.273295 15.885217